While the term may be unfamiliar, Absorption Rate answers a key question in real estate: "How is the market in this particular neighborhood?" Determining how quickly inventory is being sold, or absorbed, gives us an absorption rate calculated in months. That means the number of months it would take for everything currently on the market to be absorbed or sold.
You may have heard the phrase, "6 months worth of inventory is considered a ‘balanced market.’" By that, we mean there is no real advantage to the Seller or the Buyer based on current Supply and Demand. Understanding absorption rate and how a submarket is moving is CRITICAL to pricing and presenting a home to the market.
Not only does location affect how a particular submarket is moving, PRICE POINT, SIZE, PROPERTY CONDITION AND AMENITIES are critical components of the calculation.
For example, 20001 includes the neighborhoods of Logan Circle and Shaw. Right now the absorption rate for a 2 BR, 2 BA condo in 20001 is 22 months! There are 40 such properties on the market, and they are going under contract at the rate of just under 2 per month. With no new units coming on the market, and a constant pace of sales, it will take 22 months for all inventory to be sold. Buyers hold the cards.
Contrast that to a single family, 4 BR, 3+ bath home in Georgetown (20007). There are currently 8 such properties on the market. On average, 1.5 such properties are going under contract per month. Contracts are trending upward on a month over month basis. That gives us an absorption rate of 5.3 months and the edge goes to Sellers.